Diffusion of Automated Vehicles

Various policy instruments have been tested in the model. The model outcome shows that if knowledge sharing and collaborative projects in the industry are stimulated and a public and private technology fund is created the technology development will grow faster. These policy instruments together lead to a market introduction of highly and fully automated vehicles between 2025 and 2030. In 2030 partially and conditionally automated vehicles mainly dominate this market with a market penetration of 60%. In 2050 highly and fully automated vehicles with a market penetration of 75% mainly dominate the market.